Archive for January, 2006

29
Jan

Need for Speedy Excuses

Can a video game literally drive you to kill?

Tahir Khan46 year old Toronto taxi driver Tahir Khan was killed on January 24th when his car was struck by one of two racing Mercedes cars, whose speeds topped 140km/h in a 50km/h zone. The impact of the crash wrapped his car around a pole, leaving little for rescue crews and police to do but clean up the mess afterward. The badly damaged Mercedes that hit Khan had a copy of Need for Speed in the passenger seat. Police and the media quickly concluded that the dueling Mercedes were street racing, with Need for Speed being the apparent inspiration.

The drivers of the dueling cars, 18 year olds Alexander Ryazanov and Wang−Piao Dumani Ross, have been charged with criminal negligence causing death – the heaviest charge that can be laid under this scenario. On paper it would seem to be a case of two young and irresponsible children whose poor judgment took a man’s life. Conventional wisdom says the two should be jailed as long as possible for their crimes, perhaps as an example for future wannabe racers. Alas, we live in an age where holding people responsible for their voluntary actions is no longer in vogue; thus something else or someone else must be to blame for this tragic event. The usual suspects for “root causes” (re: reasons for defense lawyers to argue for a lenient sentence) simply don’t make sense in this case:

  • Poverty. The two 18-year olds are university students who graduated from the prestigious St Andrew’s College, a private school in the decidedly non-urban Aurora. One driver lives just north of the exclusive Bridle Path area of Toronto. As mentioned before, both teens were driving Mercedes cars – hardly the ride of choice for children of construction workers
  • Discrimination. Khan, Ryananov and Ross are all of different backgrounds. The victim is a recent immigrant who could not have been a part of the “the system”. The accused are unlikely to have suffered much discrimination, given their wealthy backgrounds.
  • Alcohol / Drugs. No alcohol or drug use has been reported thus far.

Need for Speed - Most WantedAll that remained was Need for Speed, the racing game franchise that has spanned over a dozen incarnations since being first released for the 3DO video game console in 1994. The premise of the game has never changed: drive your car as fast as humanly possible without crashing into anything significant until you win the race. Earlier incarnations of the game featured racing in rural or designated race tracks; It was the 2003 release of Need for Speed Underground that initially embraced the “street racing” culture, and even then races were created to look like city-sanctioned events rather than illegal dueling. There were also video-based public service messages at the start of the newer Need for Speed games, warning players not to attempt street racing in real life.

Nonetheless, the first police officer to comment on the crash took direct aim at the video game and little else:

“[An] ultra-violent driving simulation, fighting simulation and criminal simulation”
-Det. Paul Lobsinger on Need for Speed

Fighting simulation? Ultra-violent? Even the (recent) addition of destructible environments seems lightweight next to the violence in recent movies like Sin City and Munich. The detective was probably confusing Need for Speed with the Grand Theft Auto franchise, which does allow the player to actually get out of the car and “interact” with the people in the streets.

The mischaracterization of the game didn’t stop the Canadian media from pouncing on the sensationalism, making mention of the video game at every turn. But can a video game be a significant factor in driving teens to criminal activity? There never has been a definitive scientific answer for this question. Common sense, however, suggests that if Need for Speed definitively turned players into dangerous, street-racing maniacs, Toronto should be experiencing these colossal accidents at least once per week. With the release of Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas as well as imitators like 25 to Life and Get Rich or Die Trying, Toronto’s 80 murders should number in the hundreds or even thousands. As I’m an avid player of Age of Empires 3, you should expect to see Cynapse on TV shortly, as I violently establish the colony of CynicLand (somewhere near cottage country).

But of course you won’t see any of these because video games –like Catcher in the Rye, Ozzy Osbourne and 50 Cent- are insufficient to explain bad behavior. The sales of each of these media sensations number well in to the millions, while criminal incidents directly attributed each of them (usually by defense lawyers and self-appointed media watchdogs) number less than a dozen. This is far from statistically significant. If you’re looking for a possible root cause in the unnecessary death of Tahir Khan, consider some of the comments made by friends and family of the accused following their arrest:

“It’s tragic, it’s horrible what happened. Now I am going to be worried about him staying in jail with criminals”
-An relative of one of the accused (January 2006)

“It could have been any of us in the same situation … Sometimes we get out of hand. We have fun. You know, a lot of us are just getting our new licenses now”
-Saron Ghebressellassie, friend of the accused (January 2006)

Note the absence of any sympathy for the victim or an acknowledgement that Ryazanov and Dumont are entangled in a mess of their own making. Perhaps the lack of accountability and lack of concern for the victim in these statements points to a more likely cause of this crash – the pervasive attitude among the upper classes that their children are somehow above the law and not responsible for the same actions that would land other children in jail. No excuses should be made for anyone who has the luxury to street race Mercedes cars on city streets.

28
Jan

The Canadian Election - A General Summary (Part 2)

See Also: The Canadian Election - A General Summary (Part 1)

“So why would Toronto vote Liberal if they’re so Corrupt?”

There are many contributing factors to Toronto’s desire to vote Liberal, despite the heavy corruption and the fact that much of Canada favored the CPC for this election. Some factors are listed below – how important they are depends largely on who you ask.

  • Economics. The Liberals have dropped the ball on several major Toronto projects (namely the waterfront project and a train connecting the city to Pearson International Airport) but the party has still managed to pump/pledge a significant amount of money into the city. Shortly before the election, Paul Martin pledged $180 million in support for large-scale research initiatives; half of the named research facilities are related in Toronto. The $1 billion pledged by the Liberals to redevelop crime hot-spot Regeant Park could be jeopardized if the Tories decide to scale back affordable housing initiatives. Several other large-scale projects hang in the balance following this change in government. Perhaps of greater relevance, there is also a large number of federal government workers/contractors in Toronto (to say nothing CBC workers) who could lose their jobs in the event of a large-scale reorganization of the public sector.
  • Demographics. Stephen Harper’s campaign and acceptance speech were both markedly inclusive; however the CPC as a whole still contains members from the Reform Party era that are hostile to certain sectors of the population. Social conservatives remain preoccupied with limiting gay marriage and access to abortion. A quick overview of nearly any major conservative Canadian blog will reveal hostility toward immigrants, who have long benefited from loosening Liberal policies on immigration and refugees (which in turn leads to Liberals getting the immigrant vote). The decidedly Christians-only tone of some CPC supporters naturally alienates members of other religions, even if those religions have similar social philosophies. On top of that, there are simply a lot of bigoted opinions to be found among some big-C and small-c conservatives. To be sure, the Liberals and the NDP have their fair share of intolerant members (Klander comes to recent memory) but the Tories’ predecessors have had much closer ties to known bigots, while a media double-standard causes offenses by centrists and leftists to be overlooked. Most of the targeted minority groups (with the exception of natives) live in larger cities like Toronto, which means the city as a whole will be hesitant to vote in groups associated with bigotry.
  • Harper’s Campaign. The Tories ran a drastically improved campaign that focused on a few key issues that most Canadians could agree on (fighting crime, lowering taxes) while muting conservative voices that were pushing for more divisive issues (abortion, gay marriage). Furthermore, the CPC took in stride the increasing desperate and extreme attacks by the Liberals during the final few weeks and countered the negativity with more generally positive promises and musing (even if some of it has already been reneged). However, while there was nothing blatantly anti-Toronto about the Conservatives’ platform, there was not much to entice the city either. Consider the daycare issue: Harper’s plan to scrap national daycare programs in favor of $1200/child credit work well for people in places where there is no national daycare or for those who seek alternative means to take care of their children (nannies, family members). However $1200 (or approximately $23.08 per week) will not cover any kind of reasonable daycare for those otherwise in need of government assistance.
  • Familiarity. As the saying goes, “Better the devil you know …”. The fact of the matter is that Toronto Liberal candidates –noble or otherwise- have been in power for a long time and during this time they have made many personal connections in the community. Even if the party as a whole was corrupt and non-responsive to the needs of Canadians, individual MPs, like John Godfrey (who was publicly endorsed by Toronto Mayor David Miller), have in fact done a lot for the city - or at least its political establishment. Conservative MP’s have not been in power for at the federal level for quite some time and as such have no recent record to run on. The transition of power in this type of situation is always going to be slow.

In short, Toronto was looking after its own interests – just like every other city and region in the country. Very few people questioned the wisdom of Calgarians supporting the CPC and its predecessors through many ill-fated elections because it was obvious that those parties acted in the city’s economic and social interests. The “blue wave” was shut out in Montreal, Vancouver and the Maritimes for similar reasons. The disproportionate focus of conservatives (including party members themselves) on Toronto is suspect to say the least. Hopefully this does not deter the Conservative Party of Canada from leading Toronto and the other hostile regions to their camp by enacting solid policies. Results speak louder than words.

“Is Stephen Harper ‘right-wing’? What is his platform?”

“Right wing” is a relative term. Harper’s general election platform was as follows:

  • Taxation – Reduce the national GST (Goods and Services Tax) from 7% to 5% over the next 5 years. Remove capital gains tax on listed stocks donated to charities;
  • Crime – Introduce minimum prison sentences for gun/drug crimes; repeal early parole; initiate a reverse onus clause for bail hearings related to gun crimes; restrict prisoners from voting in federal elections
  • Health Care – Set legal limits for hospital patient wait times; allow private health care facilities to be built while maintaining universal public health care;
  • Abortion – No official endorsement of restrictions on access to abortion
  • Gay Marriage – Allow a free vote in Parliament – could introduce legislation to repeal gay marriage depending on result of vote
  • Environment – Develop a homegrown solution to reduce greenhouse gas emissions (presumably to replace the Kyoto plan); Set quotas for renewable content in gasoline and diesel fuel
  • Immigration – Reduce landing fee for new immigrants; tighten pre-screening for potential immigrants; grant automatic citizenship for foreign-born children adopted by Canadians
  • Military – Increase forces by 13,000 for regular forces and 10,000 for reserve forces; Increase military spending by $5.3 billion over the next 5 years; Increase military capacity to protect arctic territories

By Canadian standards this is a center-right agenda. In Europe this platform might be seen as a solidly right-wing. In the USA Harper would be considered to the left of some Democrats. Harper’s tent of supporters is diverse - neo-conservatives, traditional Canadian fiscal conservatives, social conservatives and Liberal turncoats are all vying to influence party policy. The objectives of these groups are often directly or indirectly in conflict so Harper simply can’t be all things to all people.

“Who’s the Independent Guy?”

One elected MP does not belong to any political party. Quebec shock DJ André Arthur (aka King Arthur) was elected to the House of Commons as an independent and plans to vote purely according to the wishes of his constituents (the nerve!). An outspoken federalist, Mr Arthur is fearless about speaking his mind and is a sworn enemy of the Bloc. In 2004 he caused the radio station CHOI-FM to be denied license renewal, after referring to international students at Laval University as the children of “wealthy third-world plunderers and cannibals”. Andre Arthur was also sued for libel by ex Quebec Premier Daniel Johnson. Most remarkable is that Arthur won the election against a Bloc candidate in the middle of French-speaking country … without a political program, campaign office or even campaign signs. King Arthur plans to keep his part-time job as a bus driver while sitting in the House of Commons. I wholly expect him to offer pundits and other Canadians a lot of comic relief (not to mention blog fodder). Bless him.

And with that, our summary is complete …

25
Jan

The Canadian Election - A General Summary (Part 1)

Soon after the results started rolling in, bloggers and journalists went mad posting information and analysis concerning the 2006 Canadian Federal election. Related terms related to the election briefly shot to the top of Technorati’s most searched items, while Canadian political blogs (including this one) saw a sudden surge in web traffic. Looking through the Technorati search results, it became clear that most blogs were either political analysis that assumed a good amount of knowledge of Canadian politics (not a great assumption for an international forum, especially given Canada is notoriously “boring” politically speaking) or were garbage posts that included the “right” keywords. The following post is part 1 of a quick summary for those unfamiliar with or mildly familiar with Canadian politics and will attempt to explain the significance of this election. It was typed somewhat in haste, so I’ll guarantee 90% accuracy for now …


“Quickly Explain the Results to me…”

The Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) won a minority government in the 2006 Canadian Federal Election. A minority government effectively means that a piece of new legislation cannot be passed unless the CPC aligns with another party to create a majority of votes in the House of Commons.
Stephen Harper is the Prime Minister designate. Harper is the first Conservative Prime Minister in 12 years
The Election Results (seats won) are as follows: Canadian Conservative Party - 124, Liberal Party - 103, Bloc Quebecois - 51, NDP - 29, Independent – 1
The western-identified Conservatives made breakthroughs in Eastern Canada, gaining seats in Ontario and Quebec. However, no seats were won in Canada’s 3 largest cities (Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver)

“What’s the Difference Between These Parties?”

Liberal Party of Canada:

  • Leader – Paul Martin (soon to be vacant)
  • Political Slant – Centrist/Liberal; Will swing left or right as the need arises
  • Recent History – Jean Chretien (who served under the [in]famous Pierre Trudeau) defeated Tory Kim Campbell in 1993 to win a Liberal majority government. Chretien’s most noteworthy accomplishment was passing the Clarity Act, which specified the terms under which a province’s secession from Canada would be recognized by the Canadian government. This legislation was aimed at the growing separatist movement in Quebec, federally under the Bloc Quebecois and provincially under the Parti Quebecois. The Liberals under Chretien were also credited for cutting taxes, eliminating the federal deficit and paying down over $30 billion of the national debt. However towards the end of Chretien’s reign, rumors of scandal were rumbling under the surface, while the Liberals ran afoul of the American Government after refusing to participate in the post-9/11 war effort. After months of public infighting, Chretien stepped down and rival Liberal Paul Martin became Prime Minister. Martin’s reign was instantly turbulent: Quebec separatism was still flaring, the West’s own separatist movement was gaining steam, the U.S. Government barely acknowledged Canada and allegations of scandal were growing louder. After winning a minority government, a vote of non-confidence forced Martin into a fatal election.

Conservative Party of Canada:

  • Leader – Stephen Harper
  • Political Slant – Right Wing / Conservative
  • Recent History – The original Progressive Conservative Party (also called the “Tories”) fell after the reign of Brian Mulroney. Following several mini-scandals and the controversial passing of the GST (Mulroney used an obscure constitution clause to gain enough seats to pass the hated tax) the Tories lost horribly, not even gaining enough seats in the House of Commons during the following election to retain official party status. Meanwhile, an Alberta-based populist movement would become the Reform Party, under the lead of Preston Manning. With the slogan “The West Wants in”, the Reform’s policy centered on increasing the sway in national politics of western provinces (Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Alberta, and British Columbia). The party also attracted a large number of social conservatives as well as a small number of extremists, which made Reformers tremendously unpopular in Ontario and eastward. After briefly achieving Official Opposition status, the Reform fizzled due to vote splitting on the right with a slightly resurgent PC party. This vote splitting would continue until, after several failed attempts, members from both camps created a united conservative party called the Canadian Alliance. Stockwell Day led the united party to disastrous defeat against Jean Chretien’s Liberals in 2000, and the party was overtaken by Stephen Harper in 2002. Harper united the Alliance with remaining Progressive Conservatives (then under the leadership of Peter Mackay) to form the Conservative Party of Canada. The CPC are now also referred to as Tories.

NDP:

  • Leader – Jack Layton
  • Political Slant – Left Wing / Socialist
  • Recent History – While it could be said that the NDP’s socialist views are closest to what most people think of when they think of Canada, the party has never been elected as a majority or minority government. After posting a high of 43 seats in 1988, the NDP’s political stock has steadily declined. Some blame this on the uninspiring leadership of Alexa McDonough and Audrey McLaughlin, while others feel that the disastrous reign of the provincial Bob Rae government in Ontario (Canada’s most populous province) contributed most to the party’s decline. Despite the loss of numbers, the party has retained a lot of power in the event of minority government: the Liberals and Conservatives will not work with each other, and so both sides must court a third party to align with in order to defeat or pass legislation. Given that the only other major party (Bloc Quebecois) regional are separatists, the NDP is usually the logical choice.

Bloc Quebecois:

  • Leader – Gilles Duceppe
  • Political Slant – Somewhat Left Wing, but mostly just Separatist
  • Recent History – The Bloc is a Quebec-only party created by former Mulroney-era Tories. The Bloc’s ultimate Goal is to turn Quebec into a sovereign nation with loose economic associations to the rest of Canada. In the ultimate twist of irony, the Bloc’s first election resulted in the party becoming her majesty’s official opposition in a Liberal dominated parliament. Bloc leader Lucien Bouchard called Quebec’s second referendum for sovereignty and lost when 50.8% of Quebecers voted against secession. The Bloc’s share of the Quebec vote steadily declined until the Liberal party AdScam scandal came to light, causing voter outrage and spike in support for new Bloc leader Duceppe.


“Ok, so what’s so Significant About this Election?”

As stated earlier, this is the first time in 12 years that a conservative party has controlled parliament (if only by a thin minority rule). This victory is especially important to the western provinces, who see the election of a party driven by western interests to ensure they have a greater say in the federal arena. Previous Liberal and Conservative governments, by contrast, have generally ignored the west and been accused of exploiting Alberta’s oil resources to the benefit of Eastern industries. This animosity came to a head after former Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau introduced the National Energy Plan (NEP, established in 1980) in response to the energy crisis of the 1970’s. Under the NEP, Canada would aim for oil self-sufficiency by artificially lowering oil prices through subsidies and maintaining an oil reserves in the event of external oil supply fluctuations. Westerners resented the federal intrusion on what was considered a provincial resource and blamed the NEP for the subsequent recession in the region.

“What is this Liberal Corruption you Speak of?”

Adscam – The sponsorship scandal (coined “adscam”) involves the misuse of Federal funds marked to promote national unity in an increasingly separatist Quebec. Money destined for federalist advertising in Quebec was instead filtered through Liberal-friendly firms that did not produce any advertising in most cases, and in some cases kicked back a portion of the money directly to the Liberal Party fund. The program started in 1996 under the Chretien government and ended shortly after Paul Martin became Prime Minister. Martin subsequently set up the Gomery Commission to investigate the corruption, possibly in an attempt to obliterate his rival Chretien.There were several other minor scandals during the Martin era, and an increasing number of Canadians (including former Liberals) referred to the Liberal Party as having a “culture of entitlement”.

Stay tuned for the more speculative part 2 when we will discuss:

  • Why Canada’s large cities would vote for such a corrupt government
  • Just how “right wing” Stephen Harper really is
  • Exactly who is the one independent sitting in parliament

Update: The Canadian Election - A General Summary (Part 2)

23
Jan

D-Day - Part 1

The big day has come. Will Stephen Harper (Conservatives) be crowned Prime Minister with a minority? Will he win a majority? Will Canadians give Paul Martin (Liberals) a second chance? Will Gilles Duceppe (Bloc Quebecois) win enough seats in Quebec to justify another referendum? Will Jack Layton (NDP) remain relevant?

Keep yourself informed throughout the night from the following media sources:

TV:
CTV News Special (9:00pm EST)
CityPulse (9:00pm EST)
CBC News (9:00pm EST)

Internet-Based News:

Pulse24
CTV
National Post
Toronto Star
CBC

Blogs:
The Pundits
Andrew Coyne
Angry in the Great White North (download the scorecard!)
(and of course this site!)

Note that no blog or news source should be reporting election results before 10:00pm. This is specified by the Canada Elections Act:

“No person shall transmit the result or purported result of the vote in an electoral district to the public in another electoral district before the close of all of the polling stations in that other electoral district.”

-Canada Elections Act, Section 329

Stay tuned!

23
Jan

Jane Creba - One Month Later

Also see: The Jane Creba Factor

Approximately 1 month ago, 15 year old Jane Creba was shot to death while shopping with her family during Toronto’s busy Boxing Day sales. This senseless murder created international headlines while generating strong opinions from politician and citizen alike. People unanimously agreed that it was time to take action on Toronto’s escalating gun violence problem, but what exactly happened over the last month?

The Net Flared …

“Jane Creba” was briefly the number 1 search term on blog aggregator site Technorati. Bloggers from all over the world weighed in on the high-profile shooting, with the majority of blogs offering condolences. Some blogs (including this one) wondered aloud whether Creba’s demographic caused the sudden outburst of public outrage over gun violence.

“I think the death of Jane Creba is tragic, and horrifying. We should be this shocked and horrified about it. But we should have been just as shocked and horrified about the other 51 gun deaths this year. It shouldn’t have taken a white girl getting shot on Yonge St. for this issue to be addressed with this urgency and determination”
-Missy B, Missy B’s Spot (January 6, 2006)

This prompted indignation from other bloggers and columnists:

“At least the African Canadians can take some comfort in the fact that although they may be the victims of racism, at least they are not demonized like small “c” conservatives in our progressive and oh so tolerant society are –you know the ones that were labelled as racists, bigots and Holocaust deniers by former Liberal cabinet minister Tubby Caplan. You know–the ones who were demanding action be taken against gun crime before it became fashionable on December 26.”
-Arthur Weinreb, Canada Free Press (January 11, 2006)

“To suggest that the outpouring of grief that we have seen is because Jane Creba is white is simply off the mark and I personally take it as an insult.”
-John Lawrence, conservativejoe.com (January 2006)

Root causes of the crime were attributed to the usual suspects (American guns, lack of social funding, black people, Jamaicans, poor enforcement of laws, immigration) but there was no strong consensus on how the issue should be addressed.

Police Blitzed …

Besieged by public rage and the election-inspired prompting of politicians, the Toronto police force went into damage control mode and stepped up their surveillance and arrest of suspected gang members. Toronto attorney Jason Bogle, fresh from a birthday celebration, was mistakenly targeted in a high-profile takedown by police. Bogle –a one time scholarship recipient from Association of Black Law Enforcers- is now suing the police force for false imprisonment, racial profiling, slander and false detention. The fact that Bogle was a well-dressed black man in a nice car on heightened tensions among middle class blacks that they too were targets in the ad hoc gang crackdown. Police claim the takedown was a case of mistaken identity and deny any profiling.

A Reverend Evangelized …

The first of two anti-crime exports from the USA was Reverend Eugene Rivers, responsible for the much-heralded Boston miracle. Rivers was paid a six figure sum to, among other things, take a tour of Toronto and visit those neighborhoods largely responsible for much of the gun violence. After being warmly received by Toronto Mayor David Miller and police chief Bill Blair, the Reverend broke ranks with those offering the usual vague explanations to focus directly on the black community. Rivers both frightened and electrified local residents by discussing all the taboo topics related to the violence:

“Ultimately the crisis of the black community, politically, culturally and socially is a crisis of the absence of black fatherhood”
-Eugene Rivers, Sermon at Seventh Day Adventist Church, January 2006

Eugene Rivers also presented the 10-point plan, which served as the basis for the Boston miracle. These points included

  • Church-run “Adopt a Gang” programs to establish drop-in centers for troubled youth
  • Commission of youth evangelists to work 1 on 1 with street kids and drug dealers
  • Broad economic development within problem communities
  • Strengthening of ties between inner-city and suburban churches
  • Establishment of rape crisis centers for women and treatment programs for abusive men

Rivers’ fiery evangelical delivery did not appeal to everyone attending his sermon-based lectures. Furthermore, it was not clear whether there was a place for the non-devout in his anti-gang initiatives. Most importantly, however, Rivers was gone well before he could put a hand in any of the implementation that would turn his lofty ideas into a Toronto Miracle.

Angels Descended…

Another American-born crime solution arrived in the form of the Guardian Angels, who attempted to set up shop in Toronto earlier this month. During 1979, former night manager Curtis Silwa had become so fed up with the escalating crime in New York that he founded the Angels – an unarmed, citizen-based, beret-clad group that patrols some of the big apple’s most dangerous streets to report wrongdoing. Despite billing themselves as extra eyes and ears for the police, New York officials were initially cool to the idea of a “vigilante” group doing police work. However the Angels proved useful to the NYPD and have since established chapters all over the world …

… except Toronto, that is. The Guardian Angels are trying to set up a Toronto chapter for the third time since the 80’s and City Hall’s response has been less than enthusiastic. Chief Blair denied ever being contacted by Silwa for a meeting, while David Miller dismissed outright the need for any citizen’s based group in Toronto:

“Toronto is much safer than Boston and Chicago … We need to remember what works here. Learn what we can from others, but use what works here and make it much more effective”
-David Miller on the Guardian Angels (January 2006)

The Guardian Angels founder disagreed:

“These gangs are going to get more fierce, more deadly and soon they’ll turn into Uzi-toting dope-sucking psychopathic killing machines, unless more creative approaches are used, and it has to start now”
-Curtis Silwa on the future of Toronto Gangs (January 2006)

Citizens were divided the presence of Silwa’s group. While some denounced the Guardian Angels as vigilantes that could exacerbate the gang mentality behind much of the city’s violence, others were willing to try a new technique that has been cited in reducing crime throughout the U.S. Curtis Silwa eventually left the country (on the orders of Immigration Canada) but vowed he’d be back to set up a chapter with the two dozen Torontonians who pledged to join the group.

The Mayor Campaigned …

When Jane Creba was killed, Mayor Miller was vacationing in sunny Spain. News of the shooting and subsequent public outcry prompted Miller to eventually fly home and issue a series of statements about getting tough on crime. Miller missed the hastily-prepared Toronto Gun Summit (as did the Premier and Prime Minister) but issued a series of please to ban all handguns from Toronto. Miller also trailed along Liberal MP John Godfrey, hoping to convince Torontonians that at least one Liberal MP should be spared in the event of a federal Conservative takeover in the GTA:

“John Godfrey … has delivered for our city — on public transit funding, on child care, on affordable housing, on immigration”
-David Miller on Liberal MP John Godfrey

This apparent endorsement of a specific political party angered some Torontonians, including St. Paul’s Conservative candidate Peter Kent. Despite rebuffing the Angels, Miller stressed the need for more [paid] resources to attack crime directly.

… And the Shooting Continued

The reactionary wave of arresting, politicking, finger-pointing, posturing, evangelizing and emoting did little stem the flow of gun violence in the GTA. The first shooting of the year occurred in the wee hours of New Year’s Day, and the rate of murder has risen since then. This past weekend, there were 3 separate shootings, including one in Mississauga by young men who were refused entry to a house party.

In short, there has been a lot of “action” since Jane Creba died on Yonge street, but not much of it seems to have impacted on violent crime. In fairness, Canadians will be going to the polls in less than 12 hours and the election generally takes precedence over all other political matters; however, there is very little to indicate that the politicians or even Canadians themselves have a definite direction on how to attack this problem. Cynics Unlimited may visit this topic again to see whether Jane Creba, like Jason Huxtable, Sepehr Fatulahzadeh-Rabti and other innocent victims, died in vain … but so far the outlook is not bright.

21
Jan

Who’s Afraid of a Conservative Majority? Hopefully Stephen Harper …

With less than a week left before Election Day, the question of Stephen Harper’s victory appears not to be a matter of if, but how. In a previous post, the possibility of a Harper minority (versus a Liberal minority) was discussed – now, with a 9-11% lead (depending on which poll you believe), Harper may be headed for a majority. Instead of crowing about this prospect as he disastrously did last election, the Canadian Conservative Party leader quickly set out to assure the public that a Conservative minority would not be “scary”:

“The reality is we will have for some time to come a Liberal Senate, a Liberal civil service — at least senior levels have been appointed by the Liberals — and courts that have been appointed by the Liberals … There’s certainly no absolute power for a Conservative government … we’ll have checks on us and limits on our ability to operate that a Liberal government would not face.”
-Stephen Harper, TorStar Interview (January 19, 2006)

Ironically, it is Stephen Harper who should fear a majority government. Absolute power over the House of Commons will greatly exacerbate the upcoming conflict between Harper’s core/historic constituency and his new-found audience of mainstream Canada. Prior to this election, the Canadian Conservative Party of Canada (and its previous post-Mulroney variants) tended to appeal to a few special interests.

  • Western Separatists/Nationalists
  • Social Conservatives
  • Neo-Conservatives

Throughout his days as part of the Reform Party and Canadian Alliance, Harper relied on these groups both politically and financially. In fact, all three parties became regional phenomena in a Bloc-esque manner: most analysts dismissed them as a having no chance to form a government, but to their respective regions they were the majority, and in fact it was perceived the entire region was being suppressed rather than the respective political party.

Then along came Paul Martin.

The spectacular decline of the scandal-ridden Liberals has left the door open for new blood on Parliament Hill. At the same time, the Canadian Conservative Party seems to have created a palatable mix of fiscal conservative policy and political frugality that resonates outside its Western base. Unwavering support for U.S. military intervention has turned to wary caution:

“we support the war effort and believe we should be supporting our troops and our allies and be there with them doing everything necessary to win”
-Stephen Harper, Montreal Gazette Interview (2003)

Harper has since promised backed off the idea of sending more troops abroad. An open invitation to debate abortion has become a cautious defense of a status quo:

“I have always said that controversial issues of a moral or religious nature, such as abortion, should be settled by free votes of MPs, not by party policy”
-Stephen Harper, Date unknown (at least a few years old)

“I have no desire to see that issue debated in the near future. We’re saying very clear in our platform we’re not going to support or initiate abortion legislation and frankly I don’t want this Parliament to have an abortion debate.”
-Stephen Harper, Global National Interview (January 18, 2006)

Western nationalism has become Canadian nationalism:

“Withdraw from the Canada Pension Plan… Collect our own revenue from personal income tax… Resume provincial responsibility for health-care policy. If Ottawa objects to provincial policy, fight in the courts… Each province should raise its own revenue for health… It is imperative to take the initiative, to build firewalls around Alberta…”
-Stephen Harper, Letter to Ralph Klein (2001)

“Canada needs a government that will stand up for our values of freedom, fairness, and compassion. That means a democratic government at home that respects all of our provinces, and defending our national interests and values abroad through a stronger military and a tougher stand on international trade disputes”
-“Stand up for Canada”, Conservative Party of Canada Website (2006)

So, what to make of this? Many will probably see this as indicative of Harper’s “hidden” agenda and that he is simply lying in wait until being elected to unleash a torrent of Bush-fed, extreme right wing tyranny. What’s more likely is that Harper is finally in the position to make his true/evolved pitch as a pseudo-libertarian with a very minimal social agenda. Even in the days of the Canadian Alliance he was on record cautioning then-leader Stockwell Day to limit the influence of socially conservative voters; now he seems ready to ditch them entirely and appeal to the mainstream.

However, the Conservative Party of Canada leader must remember that Canadian voters are not voting him in so much as they are voting Paul Martin out. Stephen Harper still needs to prove to angry voters (and in particular Toronto voters who probably still won’t embrace the Conservative platform for this election) that he can run the country competently. In doing so, he will ultimately alienate the special interests who have sustained him up to this point.

If Stephen Harper accomplishes this under a minority government (in which it would be essential to gain the necessary support from the NDP to pass any measures) then he can simply blame Jack Layton’s group and not appear to have “sold out” his core audience. With a majority, however, Harper would have no excuse to have not pushed the same-sex marriage and abortion issues he pimped to build his political fortunes. If he does not manage to convince the mainstream voters (re: Ontarians/Quebecers) that he should be a mainstay, he may find himself with no audience at all and will join Kim Campbell in the dubious club of short-term, one-shot Prime Ministers.

Harper’s best scenario would be to win a minority government and gently shake off his more extremist factions by virtue of his need to cooperate with the left (i.e. he can blame Jack Layton). In the meantime he can implement enough of his fiscal measures to validate the beliefs of his less extreme audience while convincing skeptical Ontarians/Quebecers that there is no evil “hidden” agenda. As long as Harper throws one economic goodie at each region of the country he could sail to an easy and painless majority thereafter.

15
Jan

Guns and Aerosol

Throughout Toronto’s “Year of the Gun” there have been many proposed solutions to stop the rising tide of violent gun-related crimes:

  • Setting mandatory minimum prison sentences for gun crimes
  • Increasing funding for community social programs
  • Using the church to spearhead cultural changes within the communities affected by gun violence
  • Modifying and enforcing immigration law

One often heralded (and maligned) proposal is imposing a new ban on handguns in Canada. Depending on who you speak to, such a move will either usher in a new era of peace in Canadian cities or seriously harm the ‘God-given’ right of gun enthusiasts everywhere to bear arms. This ongoing debate will only intensify as it was recently reported in the news that an increasing number of local gun collectors are being targeted for robbery by street gangs in need of more hardware (this is contrary to earlier assertions by Mayor David Miller and Premier Dalton McGuinty that America’s loose borders were primarily responsible for the flow of handguns).

Gun control advocates have long maintained that placing a ban on handguns will instantly reduce the amount of violent crime on city streets; however some serious questions must be asked about the validity of this one-factor solution.

Most importantly, why wouldn’t criminals simply choose a different tool to commit their crimes? When Hutu militants were running low on bullets during the 1994 Rwanda genocide, they simply switched to using hammers and nails to execute Tutsi captives. Machetes are the murder weapon of choice in countries like Guyana, where they are in plentiful supply as farming tools.

Alas, the tendency to focus on the tool instead the assailant or the motive is a worldwide phenomenon. Witness the recent storm of controversy in Singapore concerning sexual attacks with aerosol cans. Over the past few years, there has been a growing problem with Singaporeans being sprayed in the eyes with cans of aerosol party foam and being sexually assaulted while disoriented. The assailants are largely foreign workers of Bengali origin and most of the assaults take place at large outdoor parties by swarms of young men.

The issue was brought to the international [blogosphere] spotlight by high profile female blogger Xiaxue, best described as a Singaporean cross between Michelle Malkin and Paris Hilton. In profanity-laden blogs entitled “Ladies and Gentlemen, I present to you, Orchard Road” and “Not letting life shortchange you”, Xiaxue describes in graphic detail the alleged assaults on several women (including herself) by young men using cans of the party foam.

“They apparently purchase those faux snow spray bottles, and when they walk pass a young girl, they spray their faces … Now not only do the girls get sprayed, they get molested … Why? Because they are not in their own country, and they think they can get away with it …Remember millennium? Man, that was the worst. I think I got molested so many times that day, I can’t even count. When I walked with my hands covering my breasts, I get touched in the butt. ”
-Xiaxue blog entry (December 28, 2005)

“If you think it is funny, please try to imagine the foam on your face, sprayed by a stranger you want no dealings with … Junne [sp] got her ass groped … The worst comment I read, was this girl who actually had a foreign worker insert a finger into her vagina”
-Xiaxue blog entry (January 1, 2006)

However, after making several lazy generalizations about the demographics of the assailants (for which she become embroiled in a nasty online dispute with fellow Singaporean bloggers), Xiaxue suddenly decides that the aerosol cans and not the rapists should be the focus of the Singapore government:

“I expect a ban of these foreign workers from Orchard or City hall is not going to happen, so I am gonna petition for the next best thing: The banning of these aerosol foam sprays … We cannot let this go on every year! Why should we let them spray us like this? Why should we allow them to touch us?”
-Xiaxue blog entry (January 1, 2006)

Readers are then invited to sign an online petition requesting that the Government of Singapore ban the use of foam sprays. As of publishing this article there are 2500 signatures on this petition. The number of signatures will rise further if the voluminous and heated responses to Xiaxue’s tirades are any indication.

Aerosol Spray Can

Cans of aerosol snow spray are used to commit sexual assaults in Singapore. Should they be banned?

Reviewing the situation at hand:

  • Singapore imports a large number of foreigners –largely young men- to perform menial tasks without any accompanying women
  • These young men are visibly and culturally distinct in an otherwise demographically uniform society. There is a strong chance of isolation, as Singapore is noted for its rigidness
  • Some of the younger foreign workers go to crowded Singaporean festivals in large groups, where they harass and/or assault young women. Their weapon of choice is a can of aerosol party foam, which disorients the victim long enough to commit a quick assault


Does it seem likely that banning otherwise innocuous party items is going to stop these assaults at Singapore parties? Are the groups of foreign men responsible for the violence likely to say “Well, the gig is up. Since we can’t spray the girls any more we’ll just relax in the corner over here and leave everyone alone”? Will none of the assailants consider using other agents like pepper spray or household cleaners?

If this outcome sounds ridiculous then ask yourself: why would banning handguns in Toronto be any more effective for stopping crime? The mere existence or even possession of a handgun does not make one a criminal. Furthermore, the banishment of handguns will not erase the conditions that made Toronto’s gang problems so prevalent in the first place.

  • There will still be fierce competition between gangs for control of Toronto’s lucrative drug trade
  • There will still be scores of young men from broken homes being recruited into gangs under the false premise of family and respect
  • There will still be poorly-enforced and/or inadequate laws allowing offenders awaiting trial for violent crimes back onto the streets
  • There will still be a culture of exclusion among Canadians, which may not directly create a criminal class, but almost certainly allows the criminal class to operate fearlessly in distrustful ethnic enclaves
  • There will still be a lax immigration policy allowing the entry of 1000’s of unskilled workers whose social ills in their own countries are well-documented

Given the numerous factors behind the surge in gun violence and crime in general, banning handguns in Canada to stop gang violence makes no more sense than banning aerosol cans in Singapore to stop sexual assaults. If the draconian possession laws that already exist in Singapore are inadequate for preventing violent crimes, it is unlikely that banning one of many possible murder weapons in Canada will prove any more fruitful.




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